Cuba Regime Now COLLAPSING

President Trump’s bold military operation capturing Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro has left Cuba’s communist regime teetering on the brink of total economic collapse, cutting off the island nation’s primary lifeline and exposing decades of failed socialist dependency.

Story Highlights

  • Operation Absolute Resolve successfully captured Maduro in early January 2026, eliminating Cuba’s most critical ally and primary oil supplier
  • Cuba now faces catastrophic energy shortages after losing 35,000 barrels of daily Venezuelan oil—one-quarter of the island’s total energy needs
  • Trump administration explicitly stated the operation advances a decades-long goal of dismantling Cuba’s communist government
  • Cuban regime lacks financial resources to purchase oil on international markets, leaving millions of civilians vulnerable to blackouts and economic devastation

Trump’s Strategic Operation Eliminates Cuba’s Main Support

Operation Absolute Resolve deployed hundreds of aircraft, ships, and elite U.S. soldiers in a Saturday morning raid on Maduro’s Caracas compound in early January 2026. The Trump administration coordinated this decisive military action after a months-long pressure campaign that began in September 2025 with strikes on Venezuelan drug-running vessels. This direct intervention represents a fundamental shift from previous failed diplomatic strategies, demonstrating the administration’s commitment to protecting American interests from drug trafficking, illegal immigration, and hostile foreign influence in our hemisphere. House Speaker Mike Johnson characterized the operation as “decisive and justified,” emphasizing it serves clear national security objectives.

Cuba’s Energy Crisis Threatens Total Economic Collapse

Venezuela supplied Cuba with an average of 35,000 barrels of oil daily over the three months preceding Maduro’s capture, representing approximately one-quarter of the island’s total energy demand. Jorge Pinon, a Cuban energy expert at the University of Texas at Austin Energy Institute, identified the critical question: whether the U.S. will permit Venezuela to continue supplying Cuba with oil under new leadership. Cuban economist Ricardo Torres warned that losing Venezuelan petroleum “is a catastrophe,” particularly given the island already experiences significant blackouts even with current supplies. Cuba cannot purchase oil on international markets due to complete lack of financial resources, making the regime entirely dependent on sympathetic suppliers.

Communist Alliance Crumbles Under American Pressure

Cuba and Venezuela maintained an exceptionally close alliance for decades, with Cuban officials exerting remarkable influence over Venezuela despite having only one-third the population. Cuban military personnel and security agents served as Maduro’s personal bodyguards, embedding communist operatives throughout Venezuelan governance structures. The operation killed 32 Cuban security officers, representing a significant blow to Cuba’s military apparatus. Mexico previously supplied Cuba with 22,000 barrels daily, but reduced shipments to just 7,000 barrels after Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s August 2025 visit to Mexico City, demonstrating how Trump administration diplomacy successfully pressured regional actors to stop enabling communist regimes.

Limited Options for Cuban Regime Survival

Russia currently provides Cuba approximately 2 million barrels annually, but experts question whether Moscow will expand supplies given ongoing Ukraine negotiations and competing priorities. Torres suggested Cuba’s only viable survival path involves abandoning socialist economic models by opening doors to private sector investment and reducing bloated public sector employment to attract Chinese capital. This represents a potential ideological capitulation for the communist government that has resisted market reforms for over six decades. President Trump stated bluntly that Cuba’s economy “is going down for the count,” reflecting the administration’s strategic objective of forcing regime change through economic pressure rather than direct military intervention on the island itself.

Strategic Victory Advances American Hemispheric Interests

The Trump administration identified multiple strategic objectives achieved through Maduro’s removal: stopping drug trafficking flows into American communities, reducing illegal immigration pressure, countering Chinese and Russian influence in the Western Hemisphere, and securing access to Venezuelan oil and mineral resources. Major American oil companies are now investing billions to repair Venezuela’s damaged infrastructure, positioning U.S. energy firms to benefit from the nation’s vast petroleum reserves. The administration announced plans to oversee Venezuela’s transition period and install a more U.S.-friendly government that severs ties with hostile foreign powers. Senate Majority Leader John Thune called the operation an advancement of “clear interests,” while acknowledging legitimate questions about long-term governance strategies and regional precedents for military intervention.

Sources:

Cuba faces uncertain future without Maduro

5 questions about Trump’s military operation in Venezuela

Republicans after classified briefing on Venezuela operation say US not at war